The current NOAA 72 Hour Forecast Map shows the entire “area of uncertainty” West of Pensacola. The actual text on the forecast reads as follows;
Strong (20+ kts) southeasterly winds are expected to diminish to 11-14 kts by Wednesday PM, then remain between 7-13 kts from the SE and S for the remainder of this forecast period. Conditions for overflight observations remain poor. The coastlines of MS, AL, and the FL panhandle
west of Pensacola continue to be threatened by shoreline contacts. For Louisiana, models continue to show winds and currents moving oil from
the source region west around the Delta and then to the north, with potential new shoreline oiling in the area between Barataria Bay and Caillou Bay. Further west, satellite-based observations from Monday indicate possible small patches of oil south of Vermillion Bay. Models indicate that oil in this region is rapidly moving westward by strong coastal currents and winds which will result in continued scattered tarball impacts to Texas.
I don’t wish any harm on Texas, but I am glad it is moving West for right now….
